Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE) helps you clarify patterns the place different methods fall brief
Neural networks can spot patterns, correlations, and tendencies with gorgeous accuracy. However in relation to answering ‘Why did this occur?’ they’re as clueless as a parrot mimicking human speech.
They’ll offer you predictions, certain — however attempt asking them for an evidence, and also you’ll be left observing a black field.
This limitation isn’t distinctive to neural networks. Correlation-based strategies like linear regression and even superior instruments like Propensity Rating Matching can’t get to the core of causation-based tendencies in complicated information. That may be a downside when decision-makers (learn: your managers) demand actionable enterprise insights and never geeky stats that solely make nerds completely satisfied.
Liable to contradicting myself, right here’s a really geeky topic for you: Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE). The factor is, TMLE is one of the best of each worlds. It helps you to mess around with numbers as a lot as your nerdy mind needs, however it additionally makes your managers completely satisfied by producing enterprise insights.
Basically, you get the rigor of causal inference plus the flexibleness of machine studying, This…
